United States (US) Presidential candidate Kamala Harris is projected to win if recent poll reports prove accurate, indicating that she leads her opponent Donald Trump in Iowa, according to former COMELEC Commissioner Atty. Gregorio Larrazabal.
In an interview on Dos Por Dos on Monday, Larrazabal, who is an official observer with the International Foundation for Electoral Systems (IFES) as part of a delegation from multiple countries, referenced a report by Anne Selzer, a well-known American pollster and president of Selzer & Company, a polling firm based in Des Moines, Iowa.
Selzer's report indicated that Harris holds a 3-point lead in Iowa. Larrazabal noted that this is noteworthy, as Trump won the state by a 9 points margin over Joe Biden three years ago.
With these poll results, Larrazabal suggested that Harris has a strong chance of winning, especially since Iowa is traditionally a Republican stronghold.
"That's means to say oo, grabe ang reversal. Nagkakagulo yung mga pollsters dito, nagkakagulo yung mga analyst because she's the only one who really said that Kamala Harris is leading Iowa," said the former Commissioner.
"Kung totoo 'yan, kung mananalo si Harris sa Iowa, malaking chance manalo siya in other states because Iowa is a deep-red state, tha't republican talaga," he added.
The poll results have generated considerable interest, as Harris and Trump have not been actively campaigning in Iowa. "Yung democrats are praising the results, yung republican tinitira yung poll results, but she's the one [Anne Selzer]," he said.
In 2016, many pollsters predicted that Hillary Clinton would win the presidential election; however, Anne Selzer’s poll indicated she would lose, which ultimately proved correct.
Election Day in the US is set for Tuesday, November 5. However, voting often begins weeks before Election Day due to early voting and absentee voting options in many states:
- Early In-Person Voting: Many states allow early in-person voting, typically beginning 10-45 days before Election Day, depending on the state.
- Mail-In and Absentee Voting: Ballots are generally mailed to voters well in advance, sometimes as early as September, allowing voters to return them before Election Day.